Fans and the NFL can only hope for another thriller like the last meeting when the Baltimore Ravens host the Kansas City Chiefs in the 2024 AFC Championship Game on Sunday. The Ravens won that 2021 matchup 36-35, and quarterback Lamar Jackson beat fellow former league MVP Patrick Mahomes for the first time in four tries. The teams combined for almost 900 yards and the Ravens rallied from 12 points down in the fourth quarter. This time around, it’s a matchup of the league’s top two scoring defenses, but Jackson and Mahomes will try to provide fireworks. The top-seeded Ravens (14-4) beat the Texans, 34-10, last week, while No. 3 seed Kansas City (13-6) edged the Bills, 27-24.
Sunday’s kickoff at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore is set for 3 p.m. ET on CBS and Paramount+. The latest Ravens vs. Chiefs odds list Baltimore as a 4.5-point favorite, according to the SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 44. Before you make any Chiefs vs. Ravens picks, you need to see what proven SportsLine NFL expert Mike Tierney has to say, considering his mastery of picks involving the Ravens.
A veteran sportswriter whose work appears periodically in The New York Times and Los Angeles Times, Tierney has covered the NFL for decades and reported from seven Super Bowls. He had a typically strong NFL season in 2022, going 68-54-6 on his picks and returning $815 to $100 players. In addition, he is an amazing 48-19-2 on his last 69 NFL picks in games involving the Ravens, returning a whopping $2,702. Anyone who has followed him is way up.
Now, Tierney has broken down Chiefs vs. Ravens and just revealed his picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see his picks. Now, here are several NFL odds and betting trends for Ravens vs. Chiefs:
Ravens vs. Chiefs spread: Baltimore -4.5Ravens vs. Chiefs over/under: 44 pointsRavens vs. Chiefs money line: Baltimore -223, Kansas City +183KC: Chiefs are 20-10-1 as road underdogs under Andy Reid (since 2013)BAL: Ravens are 14-7 ATS in the playoffs under John Harbaugh (since 2008)Ravens vs. Chiefs picks: See picks at SportsLine Ravens vs. Chiefs live stream: Paramount+ (try for free)
Why Ravens can cover
Baltimore has the 2021 victory over Kansas City to draw on for inspiration and has the home-field advantage. Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson should be more motivated than at any other time in his career since he has a chance to reach his first Super Bowl. He threw for 239 yards and rushed for 107 in the 2021 showdown and leads the NFL’s best rushing attack this season. The Ravens average 160.6 rushing yards per contest, and the quarterback has rushed for a team-high 921 yards in the 18 games.
The Ravens are 10-3 against the spread in their past 13 playoff games. They could get a major addition on each side of the ball, with tight end Mark Andrews and cornerback Marlon Humphrey hoping to be ready after injuries. Andrews leads the team with six receiving touchdowns despite missing seven games, while Humphrey is a key piece on the playmaking defense. Baltimore had 60 sacks, 31 takeaways and allowed only 16.5 points per game, ranking first in the NFL in each category. See which team to pick here.
Why Chiefs can cover
Patrick Mahomes is 9-1-1 in his career as an underdog, and he and tight end Travis Kelce comprise one of the all-time great playoff duos. They have hooked up for 16 career playoff TDs, most in NFL history, and five came in conference title games. Mahomes has at least 340 passing yards in all four meetings with the Ravens, and the two-time MVP has won 13 playoff games. Mahomes has 10 TD passes and zero interceptions in winning five straight in the postseason.
The Chiefs are 9-4 ATS in their past 13 postseason games, and receiver Rashee Rice has emerged as another reliable option for Mahomes. The rookie has 177 yards in the two playoff games and has 55 receptions over the past seven overall. K.C. can almost match Baltimore’s defense, as the Chiefs rank second in sacks (57) and scoring defense (17.3 points per game). They are second in total defense (292.5 yards per game) and fourth against the pass (177.6). See which team to pick here.
How to make Chiefs vs. Ravens picks
Tierney has analyzed Ravens vs. Chiefs from every angle and is leaning Under the point total, but he has also discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He’s sharing what it is, and which side to back, only at SportsLine.
Who wins Chiefs vs. Ravens in Sunday’s 2024 AFC Championship Game, and which critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Ravens vs. Chiefs spread hits hard, all from the expert who is 48-19 on picks involving Baltimore, and find out.